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The Founder's Notes

Case 51 · Beauty · From The Strat, episode 51

Owned by LVMH (Kendo) and Rihanna, 50/50

Fenty Beauty

A prestige makeup brand launched in 2017 by Rihanna with LVMH's incubator Kendo, which put forty foundation shades on the counter on day one and forced the rest of the industry to match it.

Founded
2017
Founders
Rihanna, Kendo (LVMH)
Headquarters
San Francisco / Paris
Moat
Narrow · Brand

Fenty did not discover that dark-skinned women buy foundation. It discovered that every incumbent had decided not to find out.

Listen first — The Strat 51 · 7 min

Serve the customer everyone else agreed to ignore, and let the industry re-price itself around you.

Notes on the episode

First-year sales

≈ $550M+

Reported; never updated

Shades at launch

40

Against a norm of about twenty

Ownership

50 / 50

Rihanna and LVMH, through Kendo

Days to sell out the deepest shades

Days

Reported at the time; the exact count was never stated, which is itself telling

§01The business model

Fenty Beauty sells prestige colour cosmetics — foundation, concealer, highlighter, lip gloss — at Sephora prices, through Sephora, and is owned half by LVMH through its San Francisco incubator Kendo and half by Rihanna. That structure is unusual and matters. The standard celebrity beauty deal is a licence: the star lends a name, a manufacturer makes the product, and a royalty of a few percent flows back. Rihanna took equity, a seat at the product table and the veto on the campaign, and LVMH took a partner who could put a launch in front of a hundred million people for nothing. Neither side has ever said what the split of costs and profits is beyond the headline fifty-fifty.

The launch on 8 September 2017 is the business model in miniature. Pro Filt'r foundation went into roughly 1,600 Sephora doors in seventeen countries at once, in forty shades, when the prestige norm was closer to twenty and the deep end of most ranges was an afterthought. The deepest shades sold out first. That fact did two things at once: it proved a demand the industry had spent decades assuming away, and it produced a launch story that no advertising budget could have bought. Time named the range one of the inventions of the year. Sales in the first twelve months were widely reported at $550 to $570 million, which for a brand with one retailer and no heritage is a number nobody in the category had seen before.

Since then the business has done what a Kendo brand does: extend. Fenty Skin in 2020, Fenty Hair in 2024, the shade range to fifty, distribution into Ulta Beauty in 2022 and into Africa and China after that. What it has not done is report. LVMH files Fenty inside a perfumes and cosmetics division of about €8.4 billion, and has never broken it out since the first year. Every revenue figure after 2018 is somebody's estimate, including mine.

Where the revenue comes from

Wholesale to Sephora

Largest (est.)

The exclusive at launch and still the core. Sephora is also LVMH's, so the retailer margin stays inside the group — which is one reason LVMH could afford forty shades of inventory in every door.

Wholesale to Ulta Beauty and other retailers

Growing (est.)

Ulta from March 2022, Boots in the UK from 2019, Harvey Nichols at launch. The exclusivity was a launch tactic, not a doctrine.

Owned digital (fentybeauty.com)

Minority (est.)

Full margin and first-party data, but for a brand born at Sephora the site is a catalogue more than a channel.

Fenty Skin and Fenty Hair

Small (est.)

Category extensions launched in 2020 and 2024. Skincare carries better repeat economics than colour; neither has been reported separately.

Unit economics — One bottle of Pro Filt'r foundation at Sephora (illustrative — nothing is published)

Retail price$40
Brand receives at wholesale≈ $22
Formula, bottle, pump, carton≈ $5
Gross profit at wholesale≈ $17
Marketing, sampling, shade-tail inventory and write-offs≈ $8
Operating profit≈ $4

The forty-shade range is not free. Every extra shade is a stock-keeping unit in every door, and the shades at the edges sell slowest per unit, so the inclusive range costs real money in inventory and write-offs. Fenty's bet was that the story the range told would sell enough of the middle to pay for the edges — and it did.

§02The moat

Narrow moatBrandCounter-positioningDistribution

Fenty's moat began as counter-positioning of the purest kind. When it launched with forty shades and shot the campaign around the deepest ones, every incumbent faced the same choice: match the range and admit it had been wrong for decades, or hold the range and concede the customer. Most matched — Dior Backstage launched with forty shades in 2018, and brands that launched narrow ranges afterwards were publicly ridiculed for it. That is the Fenty effect, and it is real. It is also the moat's weakness: a counter-position that everyone copies stops being a position. By 2020 forty shades was the norm, and Fenty's advantage had become the fact of having been first.

What remains is brand, and the brand is two things. One is Rihanna, who is the most effective celebrity founder in the category because she is visibly the customer — she wears the product on stage, she applied it during a Super Bowl halftime show, she does not read as a licence. The other is the launch itself, which has become the origin story every inclusive brand since has had to acknowledge. Both are durable; neither is a barrier to entry.

The distribution layer is the underrated piece. Being born inside LVMH means Fenty had Sephora's shelf, Sephora's data and Sephora's tolerance for a wide inventory from the first morning, on terms an independent brand could not have negotiated. The honest width is narrow: the category has the lowest entry cost in consumer goods, the celebrity-founder playbook has been run by Selena Gomez, Hailey Bieber and dozens more since, and the counter-position has been fully absorbed. Fenty is a strong brand in a shelf full of them.

Porter's five forces — 5 ticks means the force is squeezing hard

Competitive rivalry

Rare Beauty, Charlotte Tilbury, NARS, M.A.C., Dior, Rhode, and every celebrity launch of the past eight years. The forty-shade range is now table stakes rather than a differentiator.

Threat of new entrants

Fenty itself was a new entrant in 2017 and reached half a billion dollars inside a year. The barrier is a person with an audience and a Kendo, and there are more of both every year.

Threat of substitutes

Dupes of Pro Filt'r and the Gloss Bomb are everywhere. A matched foundation shade resists substitution better than a gloss does, which is why leading with foundation was the harder and better choice.

Buyer power

Sephora decides the endcap, but Sephora is also a sister company, which softens the usual squeeze. Ulta is a genuinely external buyer with genuine leverage.

Supplier power

Contract manufacturing under an LVMH umbrella. Kendo's supply chain is shared across its brands, and the group's purchasing scale removes most raw-material leverage.

§03The financials

Revenue quality

One reported number and then silence. LVMH and Kendo let it be known that the brand had done roughly half a billion dollars in its first year — the figure circulates as $550 to $570 million — and have not disclosed a brand-level figure since. Everything after 2018 is an outside estimate, and estimates for a brand this visible are more confident than they deserve to be. What can be said is the shape: prestige colour sold at wholesale to one dominant retailer, with a high repeat rate on foundation, a real skincare extension, and an unusually broad international footprint for a brand this young. The relevant disclosed context is the parent's — LVMH's perfumes and cosmetics division reported about €8.4 billion of revenue and around €0.7 billion of profit from recurring operations in 2024, and Fenty is one of the brands the division names as a growth driver.

Margin structure

Prestige-beauty gross margins, which are very high at the brand level, with the retailer taking roughly half of shelf price on the way — except that here the retailer is often a sister company, so the group as a whole keeps more of the ticket than a normal wholesale brand would. Below gross margin the costs are marketing, sampling and inventory. Fenty's marketing cost is structurally lower than a peer's, because the founder is the campaign; its inventory cost is structurally higher, because of the range.

Cash generation

Not visible. Structurally a low-capital, wholesale-led business inside a group that funds working capital centrally. The launch inventory — forty shades across sixteen hundred doors — was the single largest cash call in the brand's history, and it was carried by LVMH rather than by the brand. That is the plainest advantage of being born inside a conglomerate: the expensive part of the bet was someone else's balance sheet.

Balance sheet

Consolidated into LVMH, the largest luxury company in the world, whose balance sheet is not a constraint on anything Fenty could plausibly want to do. The risk is the other one every group brand carries: LVMH's attention. The 2021 pause of the Fenty fashion house is the proof that the group will stop funding a Rihanna venture that does not work, however well the beauty brand is doing next door.

First-year sales

≈ $550–570M

Widely reported; LVMH has not published a brand-level figure since

Sept 2017 – Sept 2018

Brand revenue today

Not disclosed

Every current figure is an estimate. I do not know, and I am suspicious of anyone who says they do.

LVMH perfumes and cosmetics revenue

≈ €8.4B

The division Fenty reports inside

FY2024

LVMH perfumes and cosmetics profit from recurring operations

≈ €0.7B

Roughly an 8% margin across the division

FY2024

Foundation shades at launch

40

Fifty by 2019

2017

Doors at launch

≈ 1,600

Sephora and Harvey Nichols, seventeen countries, one day

Sept 2017

§04The valuation

Forbes valuation of the brand

≈ $2.8B

The estimate used when Forbes declared Rihanna a billionaire; her half of it is most of her wealth. Not a transaction.

2021

Implied EV/Sales on that estimate

~4–5x (est.)

Against an assumed revenue in the $600M range. Two estimates divided by each other.

Transaction comp — L'Oréal / Aesop (2023)

$2.5B, ~6x sales

The strategic-buyer benchmark for a brand with a story

Peer — e.l.f. Beauty EV/Sales

~4–6x

The listed comp for a fast-growing, digitally native colour brand, at a mass price point

2025

What has to be true to justify the price

  1. 01Foundation keeps its shelf. Pro Filt'r is the hero and the reason for the brand; if the range becomes a commodity, Fenty is a gloss company with a famous founder.
  2. 02The skincare extension carries the repeat economics that colour cannot. Fenty Skin has been running since 2020 and nothing about its scale is public.
  3. 03Rihanna stays visible and stays the customer. The fashion house showed what happens to a Fenty venture she is not personally wearing on stage.
  4. 04LVMH keeps Fenty inside Kendo rather than folding it into a larger house. Independence is the reason the brand still feels like hers.

§05Capital allocation

There are two Fenty stories inside LVMH and they should be read together, because the second is the counter-lesson to the first.

The beauty brand was allocated correctly from the first day. Kendo put the money into the launch inventory and the range rather than into advertising, on the theory that the range would be the advertising; that theory was proved inside a week. It then extended carefully — a bigger range, then skincare, then wider distribution, then hair — each step paid for by the last and none announced as a category conquest. Nothing about it looks like a venture-funded brand.

The fashion house is the other story. In May 2019 LVMH launched Fenty as a full luxury maison — the first new house the group had founded since Christian Lacroix in 1987 and the first founded by a woman — with Rihanna as creative director and Paris as the address. Twenty-one months later, in February 2021, the group put it on hold after a difficult 2020, and it has not come back. The beauty brand and the fashion house had the same founder, the same parent and the same name, and one worked while the other did not. The difference was not talent. It was that the beauty brand sold a thing Rihanna visibly used, at a price her audience could pay, through a channel LVMH owned; the fashion house sold ready-to-wear at luxury prices to an audience that admired her and shopped elsewhere. Capital follows the mechanism, not the name.

Launch inventory (2017)

The bet, and correct

Forty shades in 1,600 doors; the deep shades sold out first

Extensions

Disciplined

Fenty Skin 2020, Fenty Hair 2024 — each funded by the last, none rushed

Distribution

Exclusive, then opened

Sephora-only at launch, Ulta from 2022. The exclusive was a tactic, and it was dropped when it stopped paying.

Fenty fashion house (2019–2021)

Paused

The counter-lesson: same founder, same parent, wrong mechanism

§06The thesis

Watch it

Fenty Beauty is the most consequential single launch in modern cosmetics, and I would say that even if the business had failed, because it changed what every competitor sells. As a business it is very good: a hero product in the hardest category, a founder who is the customer, a parent whose retailer is the channel, and a first-year number that eight years of copycats have not matched. If a Kendo brand were ever going to be worth what Forbes says, it is this one.

But the case for watching rather than owning is simple. Nobody can buy it; LVMH does not sell brands and Rihanna is not selling her half. The counter-position that made it has been fully absorbed by the industry, so the moat is now brand alone. And a brand whose founder is also its campaign is a brand with one point of failure, as the fashion house proved. What I want to see is the thing LVMH has never shown: a number. Until the group breaks Fenty out, every valuation is a story, and the story is very good.

What would change my mind

If LVMH discloses Fenty at over a billion dollars of revenue with Fenty Skin a material share of it, the brand has become a house rather than a launch and the Forbes figure is conservative. If instead the next disclosure is a merger of Fenty into another Kendo or LVMH beauty structure, the group has concluded the brand cannot scale on its own, and the right verdict is pass.

§07How it happened

  1. 2010

    Kendo is born inside Sephora

    Sephora's American arm sets up an incubator to build brands it can sell exclusively. Kat Von D Beauty and Marc Jacobs Beauty follow. By 2016 Kendo is a standalone LVMH company in San Francisco with a playbook for launching a brand into every Sephora door at once.

  2. 2014–2016

    A partnership, not a licenceThe fork

    Rihanna, who has already put her name on fragrances and a Puma line, negotiates a beauty brand as a half-owner with creative authority rather than as a licensor. Two years of product development follow, most of it on foundation.

  3. 2017

    Forty shades, one dayThe fork

    Fenty Beauty launches on 8 September in around 1,600 doors in seventeen countries. The deepest shades of Pro Filt'r sell out within days. Time names it an invention of the year; reported first-year sales exceed half a billion dollars.

  4. 2018

    The Fenty effect

    Dior Backstage launches with forty shades; brands that launch narrow ranges are publicly criticised for it. Within two years the forty-shade range is the industry norm, and Fenty's advantage becomes the fact of having gone first.

  5. 2019

    The other Fenty

    LVMH launches the Fenty fashion house in Paris, its first new maison since 1987, with Rihanna as creative director. Ready-to-wear at luxury prices. Fenty Beauty expands to fifty shades the same year.

  6. 2020

    Skin

    Fenty Skin launches in July, into the category with the repeat economics colour lacks. The pandemic year is hard on makeup and good on skincare.

  7. 2021

    The house is pausedThe fork

    In February LVMH and Rihanna put the fashion house on hold and refocus on cosmetics, skincare and lingerie. In August Forbes declares Rihanna a billionaire, most of it her half of Fenty Beauty. Both facts in one year, about the same name.

  8. 2022–2024

    Wider, not deeper

    Ulta Beauty in March 2022, eight African markets that spring, China after, and Fenty Hair in 2024. Rihanna touches up with Fenty blotting powder mid-performance at the 2023 Super Bowl halftime show. LVMH still reports nothing at brand level.

§08Your turn

Case 51Fenty Beauty · Rihanna · 2017

Foundation is the riskiest product you could lead with, and every shade you add costs inventory in sixteen hundred doors. How wide do you launch?

It is 2016 and you are in development with Kendo, LVMH's incubator, on a beauty brand you will own half of. Foundation is the hardest product in cosmetics: it must match skin, it is returned when it does not, and every shade is a separate stock-keeping unit in every door. The prestige norm is fifteen to twenty-five shades, thinning out sharply at the dark end, and the retail data says the deep shades sell slowest per unit — because, as far as anyone at Kendo can tell, nobody has ever stocked them properly. Sephora will give you roughly 1,600 doors in seventeen countries on day one, exclusively. Every extra shade multiplies the launch inventory across all of them. You know, from your own life, that the dark end of the chart has been an afterthought for as long as you have worn makeup.

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