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The Founder's Notes

Case 37 · Toys · From The Strat, episode 37

Owned by Private — Gatacre family

Jellycat

A private London soft-toy company that retires its designs every year, refuses to sell everywhere it could, and has turned a plush bunny into something adults collect, queue for and resell.

Founded
1999
Founders
William Gatacre, Thomas Gatacre
Headquarters
London
Moat
Narrow · Brand

A toy company is supposed to chase every shelf. Jellycat's whole strategy is deciding which shelves are not allowed to have it.

Listen first — The Strat 37 · 8 min

Retire the designs, raise the prices, and turn a soft toy into something adults collect.

Notes on the episode

Turnover

≈ £333M

FY2024, filed, rounded

Pre-tax margin

≈ 42%

FY2024 — three times a listed toy company's

Designs reissued after retirement

0

The policy, and the moat

Advertising campaigns of note

None

The customer's camera does the job

§01The business model

Jellycat designs soft toys in London, has them made by contract factories in China, and sells them through around 8,000 shops in 80 countries plus its own website and a handful of in-store theatres. That is the entire mechanical description of the company, and it explains none of what has happened to it. Revenue, per the accounts filed at Companies House, was about £146 million in 2022, £200 million in 2023 and £333 million in 2024. Pre-tax profit went from £67 million to £139 million in a single year. For a plush-toy maker that is not a business, it is an anomaly, and the case is about the two decisions that produced it.

The first is retirement. Each year Jellycat publishes a list of designs it will never make again. The retired list is not clearance; the toys simply stop existing, and a secondary market on eBay and Vinted prices them at two to four times retail. The customer learns that a Jellycat is a limited edition by default, which changes what buying one means. The second decision is distribution. Jellycat sells at a single, unyielding price through stockists it chooses, never discounts, and in June 2025 dropped around a hundred independent British shops with a short notice period, citing a brand elevation strategy. That was unpopular with the shops and entirely consistent with everything else the company does.

Around those two levers sits a product mix that has quietly redefined the customer. The Bashful Bunny, the design that made the company, is a nursery gift. The Amuseables line — a smiling croissant, an avocado with a face, a pot of fish and chips — dates from 2008 and became the engine of the past five years, bought overwhelmingly by teenagers and adults for themselves and each other. The fish-and-chips counter at Selfridges, where staff in uniform wrap a plush cod in paper, is a shop designed for that customer's phone.

Where the revenue comes from

Wholesale to stockists — department stores, gift shops, bookshops

Majority (est.)

Selfridges, John Lewis, Nordstrom and thousands of independents. Jellycat does not disclose the split; wholesale is where most of the volume has always sat and where the 2025 cull happened.

Direct — jellycat.com

Full retail margin and the drop mechanism: retirements and new collections are announced here, and the site sells out of new designs within hours. Undisclosed share, growing.

Experiential counters

The Jellycat Diner at FAO Schwarz in New York from 2023, Fish and Chips at Selfridges from July 2024, a pâtisserie in Paris, Chicago from late 2025. Small in revenue, enormous in content.

International — the United States and Asia

A Minneapolis subsidiary since 2001. The US and East Asia are where the adult-collector demand is deepest, and the accounts show most of the growth coming from outside the UK.

Unit economics — One medium Bashful Bunny, sold through a stockist (illustrative — the company does not publish unit figures)

Retail price≈ £27
Jellycat receives at wholesale≈ £13.50
Landed cost, contract-made in China≈ £3.50
Gross profit≈ £10
Design, showroom, distribution, staff, overhead≈ £4.50
Operating profit≈ £5.50

The bunny costs less to make than a sandwich, and the company keeps roughly forty pence of every pound it invoices — a figure I have reverse-engineered from the filed accounts, not from the company. Every pound above the £3.50 of fabric and stuffing is paid for by the promise that this exact bunny will one day be unavailable.

§02The moat

Narrow moatBrandDistributionProcess power

Jellycat's moat is a discipline, and disciplines are harder to copy than products because they cost the copier money every year. Any factory in Guangdong can make a soft, weighted, well-finished plush; several already make Jellycat's. What a competitor cannot easily do is retire its bestsellers on schedule, hold price through a demand spike, and turn down a hundred willing retailers — because each of those decisions forgoes revenue now for meaning later, and a toy company reporting to shareholders or a private-equity owner will not make them. Private family ownership is not incidental here. It is what makes the moat affordable.

The second layer is the design language itself. A Jellycat is recognisable across a room — the proportions, the face, the weight in the hand — and twenty-five years of that consistency have produced something close to a house style, which is a luxury-goods asset in a category that has never had one. The retirement policy compounds it: every discontinued design becomes a reason for the collector to keep watching the next list.

I still call the moat narrow, and the reason is the customer. Jellycat's growth since 2020 came from adults buying comfort objects, first in lockdown and then as a social currency on TikTok. That is a cultural position, and this run of the show exists to point out that cultural positions are rented. Squishmallows ran the same collector playbook at a lower price and has already peaked; Labubu is running it now. Jellycat's mechanism is better than either, but the demand it is currently applied to is the softest kind there is.

Porter's five forces — 5 ticks means the force is squeezing hard

Competitive rivalry

Squishmallows, Build-A-Bear, Steiff at the top, and a long tail of plush. None runs Jellycat's retirement-and-restraint model at scale; most compete on price, which Jellycat has declined to do.

Threat of new entrants

Plush is one of the easiest categories on earth to enter — a factory, a design and a marketplace listing. Labubu proved in 2025 that a new collectable can take the same customer's attention inside a year.

Threat of substitutes

The Amuseables customer is buying a gift or a small comfort, and the substitute is anything else that does that job for £20 — a candle, a blind box, a card and chocolate.

Buyer power

Inverted for now. Stockists compete to keep their account and Jellycat drops the ones it no longer wants. The consumer pays full price and queues. This lasts exactly as long as the demand does.

Supplier power

Chinese contract manufacturing for plush is abundant and substitutable. Tariff and shipping-cost exposure is the real supplier-side risk for a company that makes nothing in Britain.

§03The financials

Revenue quality

Better than it has any right to be. Jellycat Limited files full accounts at Companies House, so unlike most private companies in this library its figures are real, if a year in arrears; I round them and note them as filed. Turnover was about £200 million in 2023 and £333 million in 2024, a rise of two-thirds in a year, with growth across the UK, the United States and Asia. It is wholesale-heavy, cash-settled and — this is the important part — sold at full price with no promotional allowance. There is no revenue in these accounts that was bought with a discount, which is a sentence I have otherwise only written about Hermès.

Margin structure

Pre-tax profit was about £67 million on £200 million in 2023, a margin in the low thirties, and £139 million on £333 million in 2024, a margin above forty percent. Operating margin sits a touch below those figures. For context, Mattel and Hasbro earn operating margins in the low-to-mid teens; Jellycat's is closer to a luxury leather house than to a toy company. The structure that produces it is simple: a low-cost product, no discounting, no advertising to speak of, and operating leverage on a design team and a London head office that did not double when revenue did.

Cash generation

Very strong. Contract manufacturing means no factories to fund, the product is small and cheap to ship and warehouse, and demand has exceeded supply, so inventory does not age. The accounts show the owners taking dividends of around £58 million in respect of 2023 and planning around £110 million for 2024, which is the clearest possible statement that the business generates far more cash than it can usefully reinvest.

Balance sheet

Unleveraged as far as the filings show, with cash built from retained profit after the dividends. There is no acquisition debt, no external shareholder and no lease portfolio of consequence, because the in-store theatres sit inside other people's department stores. It is a balance sheet built to allow the owners to say no.

Turnover

≈ £333M

Filed figure, rounded. Up about 66% on 2023.

FY2024, year to 31 December

Turnover

≈ £200M

Filed, rounded. Up from roughly £146M in 2022.

FY2023

Profit before tax

≈ £139M

Filed, rounded; a margin above 40%. £67M the year before.

FY2024

Pre-tax margin

≈ 33% → 42%

Expanding while revenue grew two-thirds — the signature of a business with pricing power and fixed design costs

FY2023 → FY2024

Dividends to the owners

≈ £110M

Planned in respect of 2024, after around £58M for 2023

Stockists

≈ 8,000 in 80 countries

Before the June 2025 decision to stop supplying around 100 UK independents

2024

§04The valuation

Jellycat — any multiple

Not available

Private, family-owned, no disclosed intention to sell. The comparables below are what a buyer would argue about.

Peer EV/EBIT — Mattel, Hasbro

≈ 10–13x

Listed toy companies with low-teens margins and licence exposure. The wrong comparable, and the one a sceptical buyer would start from. Estimate.

2025

Transaction comp — Jazwares / Squishmallows (Berkshire Hathaway, 2022)

Undisclosed

The collector-plush precedent. Squishmallows' subsequent decline is the cautionary half of the comparison.

Implied value at a luxury-adjacent multiple

≈ £1.5–2.5B

Roughly 12–18x 2024 pre-tax profit. Illustrative only. A buyer paying the top of that range is paying for the craze to last.

What has to be true to justify the price

  1. 01Turnover in 2025 and 2026 grows, or at least holds, from £333 million. The 2025 accounts will not be filed until well into 2026 and are the single most important document this case is waiting for.
  2. 02The retirement policy keeps working after the TikTok cycle turns — that is, collectors keep buying the next design because of the mechanism, not because the platform is currently pointed at it.
  3. 03The stockist cull elevates the brand rather than starving it. Dropping a hundred independents is fine if the department-store and direct channels absorb the volume at full price; it is a mistake if it simply hands the shelf to Squishmallows.
  4. 04The Gatacre family stays private and patient. Every part of this strategy depends on an owner willing to forgo revenue, and a sale to a strategic or a fund would change the answer to every question above.

§05Capital allocation

There is almost nothing to allocate, which is the point. Jellycat owns no factories, runs no advertising campaigns of any size, holds no debt, and its experiential shops are counters inside other people's stores. The two large uses of cash are the design and merchandising operation in London and dividends to the family, and the dividends — around £58 million for 2023, around £110 million planned for 2024 — say plainly that the owners see no better use for the money than taking it out.

I think that is correct, and I want to explain why, because it looks lazy. A toy company with this demand could open its own stores, buy a factory, acquire a second brand or spend on media to widen the funnel. Every one of those would grow revenue and every one would weaken the mechanism. Own stores would tempt the company to fill them. A factory would tempt it to run it. A second brand would dilute the house style that makes a Jellycat a Jellycat. Advertising would tell the customer she is being sold to, which is the one thing the fish-and-chips counter is careful never to do. The most disciplined allocation decision available to Jellycat is the refusal to make any of them, and the family has made it.

The decision I would question is the 2025 stockist cull. Not the principle — controlled distribution is the strategy — but the execution, which gave small shops that had carried the brand for years a few weeks' notice and no explanation beyond a phrase. The independents were the company's first believers. Brands that treat their first believers as excess capacity tend to find, later, that they need them.

Retirement policy

Exemplary

Revenue forgone every year to make every design a limited edition. The whole moat in one decision.

Distribution restraint

Sound, harshly done

Full price, no discounts, stockists chosen. The June 2025 cull of around 100 UK independents was the strategy at its least generous.

Experiential retail

Cheap and effective

Counters inside department stores rather than a leased estate. Content per pound is extraordinary.

Dividends

Large

≈ £110M planned for 2024. The honest signal that the owners do not intend to change the model to chase growth.

§06The thesis

Own it

If Jellycat were for sale — it is not — I would want it, and I would want it at a price that ignores the craze. The reason is that, alone among the companies in this run of the show, Jellycat built its scarcity mechanism before the wave arrived. Retirement lists, full price and chosen stockists were the company's habits when it was a nursery-gift brand turning over a few tens of millions; TikTok did not create the discipline, it found it. That is the distinction the arc is looking for. Stanley rode a wave. Crocs learned to ride one. Jellycat had been making small ones for twenty years and was ready when a large one came.

The numbers back the mechanism rather than the moment: a pre-tax margin that widened from a third to above forty percent while revenue grew two-thirds is what pricing power looks like in the accounts, and it is happening in a category where the incumbents earn a third of that. The risks are the ones I would expect — the adult comfort-object customer is fickle, Labubu has shown how quickly attention moves, and the stockist cull may have been a strategic error dressed as a strategy. But the business underneath the craze is a well-run, unleveraged, family-owned company with a house style and a forty percent margin, and I would rather own that at a toy-company price than almost anything else in this library at a luxury one.

What would change my mind

If the 2025 accounts show turnover flat or down and the pre-tax margin back below thirty percent, the demand was the platform's and not the mechanism's, and I would move to watch it. If instead turnover keeps growing while the retirement list gets longer, the mechanism is doing the work and the verdict stands.

§07How it happened

  1. 1999

    A name from a child

    William and Thomas Gatacre start a soft-toy company in London. By the company's own account the name came from a child who liked jellies and cats; the founding story is otherwise thin, because the brothers give almost no interviews and the company has never needed a myth.

  2. 2001

    Minneapolis

    Jellycat Inc. opens as a US subsidiary. The American gift and department-store market becomes the company's largest outside Britain, long before the collector demand arrives.

  3. 2008

    A croissant with a faceThe fork

    The Amuseables line launches: everyday objects — foods, plants, a slice of toast — given eyes and a smile. It sells modestly for a decade and then becomes the engine of the company's growth, bought by adults for adults.

  4. 2010s

    The retirement list becomes policyThe fork

    Jellycat begins publishing, each year, the designs it will stop making and never reissue. A secondary market forms. The customer learns that every Jellycat is temporary, which is the moment the toy becomes a collectable.

  5. 2020

    Lockdown

    Adults buying comfort objects during the pandemic find Jellycat, and TikTok finds them finding it. Turnover, which had been growing steadily, begins to compound.

  6. 2023

    The Diner

    The Jellycat Diner opens inside FAO Schwarz in New York: a soft-toy burger served in a paper bag by staff in uniform. The shop is designed for a customer holding a phone, and it works.

  7. 2024

    Fish and chips at Selfridges

    On 15 July a chip-shop counter opens in Selfridges' toy department, wrapping plush cod and chips in paper. Turnover for the year reaches about £333 million and pre-tax profit £139 million, up from £200 million and £67 million.

  8. 2025

    Saying no to a hundred shopsThe fork

    In June, Jellycat stops supplying around 100 independent UK stockists at short notice, citing a brand elevation strategy. Retailers protest publicly. The company pays its owners around £110 million in dividends and says nothing further.

§08Your turn

Case 37Jellycat · William and Thomas Gatacre · 2023

Demand has doubled and your factories can follow it. Do you keep retiring your bestsellers, or scale the ones that are working while the wave is under you?

Your soft-toy company has always retired designs: each year a list of bunnies and Amuseables stops being made and is never reissued. That was a habit from the nursery-gift years, and it cost you a little revenue on proven sellers. Now the customer has changed. Adults are buying Amuseables for each other, TikTok is pointing at the brand, turnover has gone from about £146 million to £200 million in a year, and the bestsellers are selling out. Your Chinese contract factories can add capacity within months. Stockists you have never heard of are asking for accounts, and the ones you have are asking for ten times the stock. A retired design is currently trading on eBay at three times what you sold it for. The easiest decision available to you is to make more of everything and sell it to everyone.

Choose before you scroll. The answer is hidden until you commit.