Case 43 — Crocs · Andrew Rees · 2021
You have a record year, a single product, and a memory of 2008. Do you spend $2.5 billion on a second brand to make the company less dependent on the clog?
It is December 2021 and you have just had the best year in the company's history: revenue up about two-thirds to $2.3 billion, operating margin around 30%, a share price near its all-time high. Thirteen years ago the same company lost $185 million and its stock fell to a dollar, because the clog had gone out of fashion. You have one product, and everyone including you knows what happens to one-product footwear companies when the cycle turns. A canvas slip-on brand called HEYDUDE, founded in Italy and now mostly American, is available. It has around $570 million of revenue, is growing fast, and sells a cheap, comfortable shoe to a customer who is not yours. The price is $2.5 billion — about $2 billion in cash, funded with debt, and the rest in stock.
Choose before you scroll. The answer is hidden until you commit.
§02 — More forks
- Lululemon · 1998You have one store, no ad budget, and a pair of yoga pants that costs four times what anyone pays today. How do you price it?
- Nike · 1984You can sign five established NBA players, or spend the whole basketball budget on one rookie who would rather sign with your competitor. Which?
- Amazon · 2000Do you let outside sellers compete with you, on your own product pages, for your own customers?
- Glossier · 2023The thing that made your brand special is the thing now capping its growth. Do you break your own rule?